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📊 Prediction Accuracy
4.8%
Within 2 Positions
6.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+2.83vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-0.04+7.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+3.87vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.77+9.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.91+8.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+2.41vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.76+5.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.24+2.46vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+6.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.19+4.70vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02+2.89vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.02+2.15vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+3.55vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+0.02vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.64-3.75vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.15-6.69vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64-5.60vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley0.68-11.85vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley0.39-11.85vs Predicted
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21University of Southern California0.51-13.39vs Predicted
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22University of Southern California1.61-18.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.2%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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13.01University of California at San Diego-0.770.0%1st Place
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13.61University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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12.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.760.0%1st Place
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10.46University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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15.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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14.7University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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13.89University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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14.15University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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17.55University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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15.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.25University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.31University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Berkeley0.680.1%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Berkeley0.390.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Southern California0.510.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Southern California1.610.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampson Reynolds | 22.0% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mary Toomey | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matilda Lundin | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Keelin Davis | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Matich | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Jack Berkenfield | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.6% |
| Joshua Davis | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% |
| Charles Villalpando | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 36.1% |
| Megan Klein | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% |
| Stuart Johnson | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| George Kripac | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Kevin Gilland | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Corbett Churan | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Mason Comerford | 21.3% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.