← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.78+5.49vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.15+1.94vs Predicted
-
3Yale University1.57+5.40vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+6.07vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.94+2.70vs Predicted
-
6Boston College1.95+1.60vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.86+1.49vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.38-2.32vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-1.12vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University1.49-0.57vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.06-4.74vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College1.20-2.39vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.59-2.82vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.39-5.85vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.87-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.49University of Rhode Island2.789.6%1st Place
-
3.94Stanford University3.1519.2%1st Place
-
8.4Yale University1.575.1%1st Place
-
10.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.402.9%1st Place
-
7.7Roger Williams University1.946.2%1st Place
-
7.6Boston College1.956.2%1st Place
-
8.49Brown University1.864.2%1st Place
-
5.68Dartmouth College2.3812.2%1st Place
-
7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.3%1st Place
-
9.43Northwestern University1.493.9%1st Place
-
6.26Bowdoin College2.069.6%1st Place
-
9.61Connecticut College1.203.6%1st Place
-
10.18Northeastern University1.592.9%1st Place
-
8.15Boston University1.395.7%1st Place
-
10.13University of Vermont0.872.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 19.2% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| William Michels | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Shea Smith | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 16.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.