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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.61+3.08vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+1.81vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.68+3.87vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.51+3.49vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.39+3.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+6.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.04+2.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+0.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.64+3.40vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+4.98vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.01+2.81vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-1.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.77+0.10vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.15-3.79vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.76-2.30vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.93vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-10.22vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-2.56vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.19-4.29vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.02-5.95vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of Southern California1.610.2%1st Place
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3.81University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.2%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Berkeley0.680.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Southern California0.510.1%1st Place
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8.14University of California at Berkeley0.390.1%1st Place
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12.63University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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12.4University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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13.81University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.74University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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13.1University of California at San Diego-0.770.0%1st Place
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10.21University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.760.0%1st Place
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14.07University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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15.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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14.71University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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14.05University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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17.29University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Comerford | 19.4% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 21.5% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gilland | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corbett Churan | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| George Kripac | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Keelin Davis | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stuart Johnson | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Megan Klein | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 13.1% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Hallie Muller | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Matilda Lundin | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Molly Rowland | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Matich | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% |
| Mary Toomey | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Berkenfield | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% |
| Felix Slothower | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Charles Villalpando | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.