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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.61+2.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.51+3.46vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.24+5.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.39+2.20vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.02+6.73vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.76+4.58vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+3.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.68-3.07vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.64+1.23vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.19+2.71vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.15-2.73vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-5.90vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.12-7.10vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-1.49vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.01-4.17vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.90-1.59vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-5.02vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-5.97vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-1.02-8.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98University of Southern California1.610.2%1st Place
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3.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.2%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Southern California0.510.1%1st Place
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10.63University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Berkeley0.390.1%1st Place
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13.73University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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12.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.760.0%1st Place
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12.24University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Berkeley0.680.1%1st Place
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12.23University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.71University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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10.27University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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15.51University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.0%1st Place
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13.83University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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17.41University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
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14.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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15.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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13.7University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Comerford | 19.6% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 22.1% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Corbett Churan | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Lauren Matich | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| George Kripac | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Gilland | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stuart Johnson | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Joshua Davis | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% |
| Molly Rowland | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Keelin Davis | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Arturo Ruiz Parra | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 14.3% |
| Konrad Brine | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| Julien Stroumza | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 33.2% |
| Megan Klein | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% |
| Jack Berkenfield | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.