← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California0.51+6.14vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.61+1.82vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+0.68vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+7.75vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+1.51vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.68+0.65vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+1.09vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.76+4.06vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.39-1.47vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.29vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+3.19vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley-0.64-0.03vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-2.63vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-0.04-4.62vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-1.19-1.23vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Irvine-1.02-3.81vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-1.90-1.80vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-2.52vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-5.85vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Irvine-1.02-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.14University of Southern California0.510.1%1st Place
-
3.82University of Southern California1.610.2%1st Place
-
3.68University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.2%1st Place
-
11.75University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
-
6.51University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
-
6.65University of California at Berkeley0.680.1%1st Place
-
8.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
-
12.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.760.0%1st Place
-
7.53University of California at Berkeley0.390.1%1st Place
-
9.71University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
-
14.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
-
11.97University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
-
10.37University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
-
9.38University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
-
13.77University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
-
13.19University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
16.2University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
-
16.48University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
-
14.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
-
13.37University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Findlay | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mason Comerford | 20.7% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 21.7% | 19.6% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Mary Toomey | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gilland | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Matich | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Corbett Churan | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Megan Klein | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% |
| Stuart Johnson | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Hallie Muller | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Arjun Boddu | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Davis | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| Felix Slothower | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
| Julien Stroumza | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 26.2% |
| Charles Villalpando | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 29.0% |
| Jack Berkenfield | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.