Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Sterling Henken 28.3% 23.2% 16.3% 12.3% 7.8% 5.0% 3.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Alexander 11.3% 11.3% 13.4% 12.5% 11.4% 10.4% 8.1% 8.4% 5.6% 3.8% 1.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Maxwell McKinney 4.8% 4.1% 5.3% 6.2% 7.4% 9.0% 8.7% 9.0% 9.7% 11.4% 9.5% 7.1% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6%
Brian MacLean 3.9% 7.0% 6.9% 8.7% 9.8% 8.3% 8.8% 8.2% 9.4% 9.2% 8.7% 6.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Leah Ford 5.1% 4.9% 5.4% 6.9% 8.4% 6.9% 8.7% 11.3% 10.2% 8.4% 8.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.0% 0.4%
Nicolai Sponholtz 8.1% 8.7% 9.5% 12.0% 11.6% 11.6% 11.5% 8.6% 6.0% 6.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Rall 2.8% 1.9% 2.5% 3.2% 2.9% 3.6% 4.1% 5.8% 8.2% 8.3% 10.8% 13.5% 13.9% 14.0% 4.5%
Vincent Todosiev 4.0% 3.1% 5.0% 4.8% 6.2% 7.3% 8.3% 8.8% 9.5% 9.7% 12.0% 9.5% 7.7% 3.3% 0.8%
Peter Wong 17.7% 19.7% 16.6% 14.9% 9.9% 9.0% 6.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Julian Weiswasser 1.4% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 2.3% 4.6% 4.9% 5.2% 6.6% 7.6% 11.5% 14.1% 15.9% 12.1% 7.5%
Daniel Vick 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.2% 3.1% 5.3% 5.2% 5.6% 9.8% 13.8% 27.2% 19.9%
Nicholas Lenz Lenz 2.9% 2.5% 3.2% 4.5% 7.7% 7.1% 7.2% 10.0% 8.9% 10.2% 11.3% 10.4% 9.1% 4.0% 1.0%
Liam Hood 6.9% 8.4% 9.3% 8.5% 9.7% 10.0% 11.6% 10.2% 9.5% 6.6% 5.1% 2.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Conor Kuzmack 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 2.1% 2.6% 2.2% 4.6% 6.9% 16.8% 60.3%
Natalie Hopper 1.5% 2.0% 2.9% 2.3% 2.3% 4.2% 5.2% 5.3% 6.9% 9.2% 9.1% 11.4% 16.6% 16.3% 4.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.