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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+2.86vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.82+4.41vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.65+4.04vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.61+3.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+3.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.66+1.09vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.21vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.84-1.51vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.92-2.81vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.00-3.91vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.00-2.72vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.49-5.13vs Predicted
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14University of Texas1.82-1.47vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.64-2.21vs Predicted
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16Clemson University2.20-4.51vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.84-10.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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6.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.820.1%1st Place
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7.04Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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7.21Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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7.21SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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6.49Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.09College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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9.28Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.87University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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12.53University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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12.79Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.49Clemson University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.49Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 21.8% | 19.1% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kuschner | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Stokes | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 13.9% | 23.9% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 22.8% | 37.9% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Todd | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.