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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+6.68vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+6.06vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.69+7.47vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.55vs Predicted
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5Washington College3.65+5.51vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.17+2.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.56+4.29vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.53+7.20vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.25-1.36vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.83vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.93-1.63vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49-0.46vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.31-0.50vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.62-3.36vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.61-4.24vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University4.33-8.58vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy4.16-8.96vs Predicted
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18University of Washington2.13-1.26vs Predicted
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19Stanford University2.90-5.20vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University3.84-10.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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8.06Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.51Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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11.29Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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15.2Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.64Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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10.83SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.37College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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11.54University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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10.76Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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7.42Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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16.74University of Washington2.130.0%1st Place
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13.8Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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9.79Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Kirkland | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| David Hernandez | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| John Stokes | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 17.6% | 21.2% |
| William Brown | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Harry Scott | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Will Stocke | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Leif Evensen | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 5.6% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Martin Sterling | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 14.9% | 40.9% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.9% |
| Patrick Clancy | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.