Race 3A

33rd-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Thomas Sitzmann 21.6% 18.8% 15.5% 11.5% 10.0% 6.7% 5.5% 4.3% 3.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Ulmer 5.2% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.3% 7.0% 7.6% 7.4% 7.8% 8.5% 7.2% 6.6% 6.0% 4.9% 4.0%
Leyton Borcherding 4.7% 5.2% 5.1% 5.9% 6.0% 7.4% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 7.3% 7.8% 7.6% 8.6% 7.8% 5.7%
Kerem Erkmen 9.0% 9.3% 7.8% 8.2% 8.2% 8.1% 9.7% 9.2% 7.2% 6.7% 5.2% 4.5% 3.2% 2.8% 0.9%
Mathieu Dale 6.3% 6.6% 6.0% 7.3% 7.8% 7.0% 6.6% 7.8% 7.5% 6.9% 8.0% 6.2% 7.8% 5.0% 3.0%
Skylor Sweet 3.6% 3.5% 4.3% 3.5% 4.3% 5.5% 5.5% 5.7% 5.9% 7.4% 8.2% 8.6% 9.5% 11.3% 13.0%
William Michels 10.8% 10.9% 10.7% 10.7% 10.0% 8.8% 8.2% 6.3% 6.6% 5.3% 4.0% 3.2% 2.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 6.5% 6.3% 7.1% 7.8% 7.0% 7.3% 7.1% 8.5% 8.2% 7.1% 7.3% 6.7% 4.9% 4.8% 3.4%
Noah Robitshek 6.3% 6.1% 7.2% 6.2% 5.8% 7.2% 6.8% 7.3% 7.2% 8.3% 8.5% 6.6% 6.8% 5.2% 4.5%
Adrian Winkelman 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 3.5% 4.0% 4.9% 4.8% 4.6% 5.6% 5.8% 7.0% 9.6% 9.4% 13.8% 18.4%
Bradley Whiteway 2.5% 3.5% 3.2% 4.2% 4.5% 4.6% 5.5% 4.3% 6.2% 7.0% 7.2% 8.2% 10.3% 12.0% 16.4%
Christian Cushman 3.1% 2.5% 3.8% 4.3% 4.6% 3.8% 5.9% 5.1% 5.0% 6.7% 7.5% 9.0% 11.1% 12.1% 15.6%
Shea Smith 3.3% 4.5% 3.9% 4.9% 5.0% 5.8% 6.0% 5.8% 7.7% 7.0% 8.0% 9.9% 8.8% 10.3% 9.2%
Sam Bonauto 9.6% 8.7% 9.9% 8.4% 9.2% 9.2% 7.8% 8.6% 7.0% 6.4% 5.5% 4.3% 2.5% 1.9% 0.9%
Audrey Foley 5.0% 5.1% 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 6.8% 6.5% 8.0% 7.4% 8.0% 7.5% 8.6% 8.4% 6.5% 4.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.