Race 12A

erwin-schell

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Joseph Morris 7.4% 8.4% 7.4% 7.2% 9.4% 8.0% 7.8% 7.4% 9.1% 7.2% 6.3% 6.1% 4.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
Tyler Sinks 14.4% 13.9% 14.2% 11.5% 9.4% 8.1% 7.1% 6.1% 4.2% 4.6% 3.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Fred Strammer 10.8% 8.7% 8.7% 10.7% 9.9% 8.7% 7.7% 8.5% 7.7% 6.5% 4.9% 2.6% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Eamon Glackin 2.9% 4.2% 5.4% 5.0% 5.2% 6.6% 5.1% 4.8% 9.4% 7.0% 9.4% 9.5% 7.9% 9.1% 6.2% 2.3%
Michael Marshall 4.3% 4.0% 4.1% 5.1% 4.9% 6.0% 7.4% 7.2% 8.5% 8.1% 7.7% 9.4% 8.5% 7.7% 5.5% 1.6%
Alan Palmer 8.8% 10.2% 11.3% 10.4% 9.1% 7.7% 8.0% 8.0% 5.8% 6.3% 4.2% 4.9% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Coleman Bowen 4.6% 4.1% 5.0% 4.7% 3.7% 5.1% 6.6% 6.2% 8.1% 8.4% 8.1% 9.5% 8.3% 7.9% 7.3% 2.4%
Cy Thompson 13.8% 12.8% 12.8% 10.7% 9.8% 9.2% 7.8% 7.0% 4.6% 4.1% 3.1% 2.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Pellegrini 6.0% 6.5% 4.9% 6.0% 7.3% 6.7% 7.6% 9.7% 5.9% 10.4% 6.5% 5.7% 6.7% 5.9% 2.7% 1.5%
Graham Philpot 1.0% 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.8% 3.1% 6.5% 7.5% 15.5% 51.8%
Jeff Goodrich 2.7% 2.7% 1.5% 2.7% 2.8% 2.5% 4.5% 3.9% 4.0% 5.2% 7.2% 8.3% 9.3% 13.3% 17.6% 11.8%
Daniel Perkins 4.5% 4.3% 4.6% 3.6% 6.3% 7.2% 7.3% 5.4% 7.0% 7.8% 8.1% 8.2% 8.2% 9.9% 5.7% 1.9%
James Simmons 1.8% 1.6% 1.7% 3.7% 3.6% 3.9% 3.4% 2.9% 5.5% 5.2% 8.1% 9.8% 12.0% 10.7% 14.6% 11.5%
Massimo Soriano 4.6% 4.8% 3.6% 5.8% 6.1% 6.8% 7.1% 8.7% 7.8% 7.4% 7.8% 7.8% 8.5% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9%
Conor Lodge 2.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.4% 1.5% 2.8% 2.7% 4.1% 4.3% 6.0% 7.5% 8.0% 9.8% 14.3% 18.0% 12.5%
Samuel Ingham 10.0% 11.7% 11.9% 8.9% 10.0% 9.7% 8.0% 8.0% 6.9% 4.1% 4.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.