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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.00+2.16vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.23+2.53vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.11+1.73vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.39+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-0.84+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.98+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.44-2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.51-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Northwestern University1.000.2%1st Place
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4.53Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Iowa-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Toledo-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Wisconsin0.440.1%1st Place
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2.41University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine O'Donnell | 19.0% | 23.8% | 19.8% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Susan Riley | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 5.5% |
| Hannah Thayer | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 7.4% |
| Cailin Oakes | 11.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
| Emma Jordan-Wood | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 24.8% | 34.5% |
| Delaney Imbler | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 41.7% |
| Cailin Considine | 11.0% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 35.8% | 24.4% | 19.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.