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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.39+3.20vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.00+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.11+1.73vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.23+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-0.84+1.30vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.98+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.44-2.79vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.51-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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3.2Northwestern University1.000.2%1st Place
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4.73University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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4.53Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Iowa-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Toledo-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Wisconsin0.440.1%1st Place
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2.4University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cailin Oakes | 11.0% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 18.4% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Thayer | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 7.8% |
| Susan Riley | 8.6% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 6.8% |
| Emma Jordan-Wood | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 24.5% | 34.6% |
| Delaney Imbler | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 20.5% | 41.4% |
| Cailin Considine | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 36.1% | 24.2% | 18.3% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.