← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.78+5.54vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.39+3.79vs Predicted
-
3Boston College1.95+4.69vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.20+5.83vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.86+3.43vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.15-2.05vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.94+0.94vs Predicted
-
8Boston University1.39+0.02vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.59+1.35vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-2.29vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.06-4.82vs Predicted
-
12Northwestern University1.49-2.78vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-3.13vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.87-3.88vs Predicted
-
15Yale University1.57-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.54University of Rhode Island2.788.8%1st Place
-
5.79Dartmouth College2.3910.3%1st Place
-
7.69Boston College1.955.5%1st Place
-
9.83Connecticut College1.203.1%1st Place
-
8.43Brown University1.865.0%1st Place
-
3.95Stanford University3.1519.8%1st Place
-
7.94Roger Williams University1.946.0%1st Place
-
8.02Boston University1.396.5%1st Place
-
10.35Northeastern University1.592.6%1st Place
-
7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.3%1st Place
-
6.18Bowdoin College2.069.5%1st Place
-
9.22Northwestern University1.493.9%1st Place
-
9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.402.9%1st Place
-
10.12University of Vermont0.873.4%1st Place
-
8.38Yale University1.575.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 19.8% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 19.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Shea Smith | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 16.2% |
| Audrey Foley | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.