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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.00+2.16vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.23+2.55vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.39+1.20vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.11+0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-0.84+1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.98+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.44-2.81vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.51-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Northwestern University1.000.2%1st Place
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4.55Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Iowa-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Toledo-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.19University of Wisconsin0.440.1%1st Place
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2.41University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine O'Donnell | 19.6% | 23.3% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Susan Riley | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 5.9% |
| Cailin Oakes | 10.8% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Thayer | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 8.3% |
| Emma Jordan-Wood | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 24.2% | 34.8% |
| Delaney Imbler | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 41.6% |
| Cailin Considine | 11.5% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 4.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 36.3% | 23.8% | 19.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.