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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.00+2.14vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.39+2.26vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.23+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.11+0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.98+1.50vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-0.84+0.20vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.44-2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.51-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Northwestern University1.000.2%1st Place
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4.26University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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4.51Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Toledo-0.980.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Iowa-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Wisconsin0.440.1%1st Place
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2.41University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine O'Donnell | 19.6% | 23.2% | 20.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Cailin Oakes | 10.7% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 3.2% |
| Susan Riley | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 5.5% |
| Hannah Thayer | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 8.7% |
| Delaney Imbler | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 22.9% | 41.6% |
| Emma Jordan-Wood | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 35.0% |
| Cailin Considine | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 4.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 36.3% | 24.1% | 18.8% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.