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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.23+3.49vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.39+2.26vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.00+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.11+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.98+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.44-1.90vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.51-4.50vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-0.84-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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3.17Northwestern University1.000.2%1st Place
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4.74University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Toledo-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.1University of Wisconsin0.440.1%1st Place
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2.5University of Wisconsin1.510.3%1st Place
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6.21University of Iowa-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susan Riley | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Cailin Oakes | 11.4% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 21.4% | 19.0% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Thayer | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 14.5% | 8.4% |
| Delaney Imbler | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 21.8% | 42.8% |
| Cailin Considine | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 32.3% | 27.5% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Jordan-Wood | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 25.8% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.