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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.23+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.39+2.26vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.11+1.70vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.00-0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.98+1.54vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.44-1.92vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.51-4.49vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-0.84-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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3.23Northwestern University1.000.2%1st Place
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6.54University of Toledo-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Wisconsin0.440.1%1st Place
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2.51University of Wisconsin1.510.3%1st Place
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6.21University of Iowa-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susan Riley | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 7.1% |
| Cailin Oakes | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 5.1% |
| Hannah Thayer | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 8.2% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 19.1% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Delaney Imbler | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 22.4% | 43.0% |
| Cailin Considine | 12.7% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 33.3% | 24.9% | 18.5% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Jordan-Wood | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 25.2% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.