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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.47+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.44+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-1.81+2.82vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.88+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.51+0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.05-2.96vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.10-3.65vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-3.37-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Northwestern University0.470.3%1st Place
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3.84University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.54Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Toledo-1.510.0%1st Place
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3.04University of Wisconsin0.050.2%1st Place
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3.35University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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7.49University of Michigan-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Guo | 33.6% | 25.1% | 19.3% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Maya Smith | 12.2% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 19.9% | 36.2% | 12.6% |
| Jennie Werner | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 20.2% | 12.6% | 2.5% |
| Rebeccca Sadoski | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 22.8% | 28.6% | 6.9% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 19.9% | 22.0% | 22.2% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 18.4% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Murphy Vandervest | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 11.7% | 76.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.