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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota-0.44+2.77vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.47+0.49vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-1.51+2.45vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.88+0.55vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-1.81+0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.05-2.96vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.10-3.64vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-3.37-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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2.49Northwestern University0.470.3%1st Place
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5.45University of Toledo-1.510.0%1st Place
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4.55Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
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3.04University of Wisconsin0.050.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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7.48University of Michigan-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Smith | 12.9% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Emily Guo | 30.9% | 26.8% | 19.5% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rebeccca Sadoski | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 23.8% | 28.9% | 7.7% |
| Jennie Werner | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 19.7% | 20.7% | 11.9% | 2.8% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 36.1% | 11.9% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 21.1% | 20.4% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 19.1% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Murphy Vandervest | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 11.2% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.