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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota-0.44+2.80vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.47+0.49vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.88+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-1.81+1.92vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.05-1.91vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.10-2.71vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-3.37+0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-1.51-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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2.49Northwestern University0.470.3%1st Place
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4.5Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
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3.09University of Wisconsin0.050.2%1st Place
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3.29University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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7.46University of Michigan-3.370.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Toledo-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Smith | 13.2% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Emily Guo | 32.8% | 24.0% | 19.5% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennie Werner | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 2.3% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 38.2% | 12.8% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 20.2% | 21.6% | 20.5% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 17.5% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Murphy Vandervest | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 12.6% | 75.8% |
| Rebeccca Sadoski | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 26.1% | 25.1% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.