← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University0.47+1.44vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota-0.44+1.84vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University-0.88+1.50vs Predicted
-
4University of Iowa-1.81+1.87vs Predicted
-
5University of Toledo-1.51+0.46vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin0.05-2.95vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin-0.10-3.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan-3.37-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.44Northwestern University0.470.3%1st Place
-
3.84University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
-
4.5Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
-
5.87University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
-
5.46University of Toledo-1.510.0%1st Place
-
3.05University of Wisconsin0.050.2%1st Place
-
3.37University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
-
7.48University of Michigan-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Guo | 33.6% | 25.6% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maya Smith | 12.0% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Jennie Werner | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 20.3% | 12.8% | 2.5% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 20.3% | 35.5% | 12.9% |
| Rebeccca Sadoski | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 23.3% | 27.0% | 7.9% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 20.1% | 22.1% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 17.8% | 16.9% | 21.0% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Murphy Vandervest | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 13.5% | 75.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.