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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.47+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.44+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-1.81+2.89vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-1.51+1.57vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.53-0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.05-2.88vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.10-3.57vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-3.37-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Northwestern University0.470.3%1st Place
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3.9University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Toledo-1.510.0%1st Place
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4.08Northwestern University-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Wisconsin0.050.2%1st Place
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3.43University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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7.51University of Michigan-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Guo | 32.9% | 25.1% | 19.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maya Smith | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 19.3% | 14.5% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 38.6% | 12.5% |
| Rebeccca Sadoski | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 25.0% | 29.0% | 8.8% |
| Kiersa Berg | 10.6% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 8.0% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 19.3% | 21.5% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 17.2% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Murphy Vandervest | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 12.7% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.