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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.47+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.44+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-1.51+2.47vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-1.81+1.96vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.53-0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.05-2.88vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.10-3.54vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-3.37-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Northwestern University0.470.3%1st Place
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3.9University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Toledo-1.510.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.08Northwestern University-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Wisconsin0.050.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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7.51University of Michigan-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Guo | 33.0% | 25.1% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Maya Smith | 12.1% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Rebeccca Sadoski | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 23.5% | 29.6% | 7.9% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 18.9% | 38.4% | 13.3% |
| Kiersa Berg | 10.4% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 7.2% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 19.5% | 21.8% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 17.1% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Murphy Vandervest | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 12.8% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.