← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University0.47+1.42vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University-0.88+2.57vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota-0.44+0.79vs Predicted
-
4University of Toledo-1.51+1.50vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.05-1.94vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin-0.10-2.72vs Predicted
-
7University of Iowa-1.81-1.09vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan-3.37-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.42Northwestern University0.470.3%1st Place
-
4.57Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
-
3.79University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
-
5.5University of Toledo-1.510.0%1st Place
-
3.06University of Wisconsin0.050.2%1st Place
-
3.28University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
-
5.91University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
-
7.48University of Michigan-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Guo | 34.0% | 24.9% | 20.3% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jennie Werner | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 22.3% | 19.6% | 12.6% | 2.6% |
| Maya Smith | 13.0% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Rebeccca Sadoski | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 24.9% | 27.1% | 8.6% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 19.5% | 23.2% | 20.5% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 17.8% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 20.0% | 36.5% | 13.2% |
| Murphy Vandervest | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 13.6% | 74.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.