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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-1.51+4.29vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.47+0.44vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.88+1.48vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.44-0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.05-1.91vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.10-2.75vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-1.81-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29University of Toledo-1.510.0%1st Place
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2.44Northwestern University0.470.3%1st Place
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4.48Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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3.09University of Wisconsin0.050.2%1st Place
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3.25University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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5.65University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebeccca Sadoski | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 25.1% | 31.9% |
| Emily Guo | 33.1% | 26.0% | 19.3% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Jennie Werner | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 21.1% | 22.7% | 12.2% |
| Maya Smith | 12.5% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 4.9% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 19.3% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 18.4% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.