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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.88+3.38vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.47+0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.44+0.80vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-1.51+1.43vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.05-1.92vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.10-2.73vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-1.81-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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2.43Northwestern University0.470.3%1st Place
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3.8University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Toledo-1.510.0%1st Place
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3.08University of Wisconsin0.050.2%1st Place
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3.27University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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5.62University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennie Werner | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 19.0% | 13.3% |
| Emily Guo | 33.1% | 26.7% | 18.5% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Maya Smith | 11.4% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 20.0% | 19.3% | 12.4% | 5.4% |
| Rebeccca Sadoski | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 26.7% | 33.3% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 20.2% | 21.9% | 20.3% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 19.8% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 23.3% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.