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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.47+3.26vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.67+1.91vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.33+1.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.33+0.63vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.59-0.87vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.57-1.92vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.27-3.23vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.75-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Rhode Island1.670.2%1st Place
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4.63Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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4.63Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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4.13Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.08Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.77Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.6Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Klein | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% |
| Owen Reuther | 16.3% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 12.3% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.3% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 11.1% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 13.1% |
| Joey Lark | 13.1% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 7.3% |
| Andrew Savage | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 11.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 14.8% |
| Allison DeLuca | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.