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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.47+3.26vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.33+2.64vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.67+0.92vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.27+0.74vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.57-1.85vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.59-2.95vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.75-2.23vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.33-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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4.64Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Rhode Island1.670.2%1st Place
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4.74Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.15Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.05Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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5.77Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
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4.47Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Klein | 13.4% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% |
| Haley Kachmar | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 11.6% |
| Owen Reuther | 17.2% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 14.2% |
| Andrew Savage | 12.8% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.6% |
| Joey Lark | 15.0% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Allison DeLuca | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 33.7% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.