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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.57+3.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.33+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.67+0.93vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.47+0.35vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.59-0.91vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.33-1.44vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.27-2.23vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.75-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Tufts University1.570.2%1st Place
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4.63Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Rhode Island1.670.2%1st Place
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4.35Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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4.09Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.56Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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4.77Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.62Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Savage | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 6.4% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 13.0% |
| Owen Reuther | 16.9% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 12.6% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.7% |
| Joey Lark | 13.6% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Haley Kachmar | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 13.8% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 14.9% |
| Allison DeLuca | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.