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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.27+3.17vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.69+1.54vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.04+1.65vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79-0.58vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.44-1.01vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.63-0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.02-3.91vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-2.33-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.54Salve Regina University1.690.2%1st Place
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4.65Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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3.42Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.3Connecticut College0.630.1%1st Place
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3.09University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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7.84Salve Regina University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Light | 11.6% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 0.8% |
| Brian Baker | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 20.9% | 21.4% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Paige | 19.5% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Powers | 12.2% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 0.3% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 35.9% | 3.4% |
| Kylie Castellano | 24.6% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Sean Morrissey | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 93.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.