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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.69+2.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.44+2.01vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.63+2.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.27+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.02-3.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.79-3.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.04-3.29vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-2.33-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Salve Regina University1.690.2%1st Place
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4.01Tufts University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.29Connecticut College0.630.1%1st Place
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4.3Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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3.38Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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7.81Salve Regina University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Baker | 18.6% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Lindsay Powers | 13.2% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 0.8% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 36.7% | 3.6% |
| Ian Light | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 13.5% | 0.9% |
| Kylie Castellano | 24.0% | 23.0% | 18.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Paige | 18.2% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 23.1% | 1.8% |
| Sean Morrissey | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 91.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.