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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.63+4.26vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.69+1.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.04+1.65vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79-0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.02-1.98vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.44-2.05vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.27-2.71vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-2.33-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Connecticut College0.630.1%1st Place
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3.57Salve Regina University1.690.2%1st Place
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4.65Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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3.44Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
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3.02University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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3.95Tufts University1.440.1%1st Place
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4.29Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.83Salve Regina University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Rosenthall | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 33.2% | 3.1% |
| Brian Baker | 16.6% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 20.4% | 21.1% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Paige | 18.3% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Kylie Castellano | 24.1% | 21.0% | 20.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Powers | 13.8% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 0.5% |
| Ian Light | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 1.2% |
| Sean Morrissey | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 92.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.