Race 8A

33rd-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kerem Erkmen 9.2% 9.0% 9.1% 8.6% 9.3% 8.1% 9.2% 7.8% 7.7% 6.8% 6.5% 4.8% 2.2% 1.8%
Thomas Sitzmann 20.2% 20.2% 14.1% 12.6% 10.6% 8.8% 5.1% 3.9% 1.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Satterberg 11.5% 10.2% 11.7% 9.8% 9.3% 9.6% 8.2% 7.2% 7.1% 5.7% 4.1% 3.1% 1.9% 0.7%
Robert Ulmer 5.3% 5.5% 6.1% 7.6% 6.8% 7.5% 8.6% 8.8% 7.8% 8.1% 8.0% 7.8% 7.1% 4.8%
Shea Smith 4.7% 4.5% 4.7% 5.3% 5.7% 5.7% 5.9% 7.4% 7.5% 8.6% 9.6% 9.5% 9.2% 11.8%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 6.2% 6.6% 6.9% 8.2% 8.0% 7.1% 8.1% 8.6% 8.8% 8.0% 7.2% 6.8% 5.6% 4.2%
Bradley Whiteway 2.6% 3.5% 4.2% 3.6% 4.3% 5.3% 5.2% 6.0% 6.8% 6.7% 9.0% 10.1% 13.7% 18.9%
Adrian Winkelman 4.3% 3.4% 3.5% 3.9% 4.0% 5.1% 4.5% 5.3% 6.9% 7.6% 8.6% 10.3% 14.4% 18.1%
Leyton Borcherding 4.5% 5.7% 6.6% 5.9% 7.6% 6.9% 7.0% 6.9% 8.0% 7.4% 8.5% 9.3% 8.3% 7.3%
Mathieu Dale 5.5% 6.6% 7.2% 7.6% 7.1% 7.9% 7.4% 9.1% 8.1% 8.3% 8.1% 6.6% 6.2% 4.2%
Noah Robitshek 5.8% 5.5% 7.7% 7.0% 5.9% 7.3% 8.0% 8.3% 8.0% 7.3% 8.1% 8.9% 7.2% 5.0%
Audrey Foley 5.6% 6.3% 4.9% 6.1% 7.8% 5.7% 7.4% 7.2% 9.0% 8.8% 8.3% 7.4% 8.8% 6.5%
Christian Cushman 4.0% 3.5% 3.6% 4.6% 5.0% 5.4% 6.2% 6.2% 5.8% 7.8% 8.9% 10.8% 12.3% 15.9%
Sam Bonauto 10.7% 9.4% 9.8% 9.0% 8.6% 9.6% 8.9% 7.1% 7.0% 7.1% 4.7% 4.3% 2.8% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.