← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles0.61+7.77vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Irvine1.06+5.47vs Predicted
-
3Santa Clara University0.21+6.93vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.01-1.11vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.27+2.09vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-2.94vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University1.60-0.91vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara1.71-2.12vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.15vs Predicted
-
10Santa Clara University-0.65+2.03vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-2.89vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-6.11vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-6.23vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.65-0.33vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara-1.36-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.77University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
7.47University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
9.93Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
-
2.89Stanford University3.010.3%1st Place
-
7.09University of Southern California1.270.0%1st Place
-
3.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
-
6.09Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
-
5.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
-
9.15University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
12.03Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
-
8.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
-
5.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
-
6.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
-
13.67University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
-
13.2University of California at Santa Barbara-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Brian MacLean | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Robbie Culkin | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Russell Clarida | 27.8% | 24.7% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lorea Mendiguren | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Weis | 23.9% | 23.8% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Peter Collins | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 21.8% | 24.9% | 12.5% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jason Nideffer | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 12.1% | 23.5% | 48.3% |
| William Boystak | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 13.1% | 30.7% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.