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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.01+1.84vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.60+3.98vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+6.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.61+4.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.06+2.64vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University-0.65+5.98vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-3.88vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-1.40vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-3.34vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.27-2.86vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-2.90vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.71-6.00vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University0.21-2.86vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.65-0.35vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-1.36-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Stanford University3.010.3%1st Place
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5.98Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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11.98Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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6.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Southern California1.270.0%1st Place
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8.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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10.14Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.65University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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13.17University of California at Santa Barbara-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Clarida | 29.9% | 24.7% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Brian MacLean | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Collins | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 23.6% | 25.3% | 11.9% |
| Christopher Weis | 23.8% | 23.4% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.8% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lorea Mendiguren | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 2.0% |
| Jason Nideffer | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 24.4% | 48.0% |
| William Boystak | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 14.1% | 27.2% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.