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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.06+6.51vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.01+0.81vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.27+3.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.52+4.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+2.86vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.60-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-2.23vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University0.21+0.98vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.92vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-4.41vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-0.65+0.15vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.71-6.97vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-1.36-0.74vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.65-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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2.81Stanford University3.010.3%1st Place
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3.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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7.01University of Southern California1.270.0%1st Place
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9.16University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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6.07Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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9.98Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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6.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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12.15Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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13.26University of California at Santa Barbara-1.360.0%1st Place
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13.6University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MacLean | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Russell Clarida | 29.9% | 24.0% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 23.9% | 22.3% | 19.1% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lorea Mendiguren | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Liam Hood | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 23.4% | 25.4% | 12.7% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Boystak | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 28.5% | 34.8% |
| Jason Nideffer | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 11.5% | 24.7% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.