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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.52+8.09vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.06+5.52vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.01-0.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-0.81vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University0.21+5.14vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University-0.65+6.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-1.26vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+3.17vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-3.38vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.27-3.82vs Predicted
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12Stanford University1.60-5.61vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.71-6.91vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.61-5.03vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.65-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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2.83Stanford University3.010.3%1st Place
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3.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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10.14Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.13Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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8.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Southern California1.270.0%1st Place
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6.39Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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13.78University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abraham Dearden | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Russell Clarida | 28.9% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 24.1% | 23.4% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 3.1% |
| Peter Collins | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 19.9% | 25.6% | 17.2% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| George Kripac | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 19.4% | 27.6% | 14.7% |
| Liam Hood | 5.6% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lorea Mendiguren | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Jason Nideffer | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.