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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.06+5.84vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15-0.26vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.60+2.37vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.27+2.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+3.43vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University0.76+1.78vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-1.92vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-2.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.52-0.39vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.71-4.81vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.65+2.04vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-4.36vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University0.59-4.59vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-1.36-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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2.74Stanford University3.150.3%1st Place
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6.37Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.78Santa Clara University0.760.0%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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6.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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14.04University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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9.41Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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13.44University of California at Santa Barbara-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Weis | 23.7% | 22.4% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| William Marshall | 30.7% | 22.0% | 19.5% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lorea Mendiguren | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Briggs Lalor | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 7.2% | 1.3% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jason Nideffer | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 27.2% | 57.9% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| William Boystak | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 40.1% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.