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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.06+5.97vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+6.65vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+2.10vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.27+2.50vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.60+0.44vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-0.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.61+1.50vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.15-6.26vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.39vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University0.59-1.45vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-5.74vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.65+1.10vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University0.76-5.03vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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9.65University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Southern California1.270.0%1st Place
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6.44Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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6.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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2.74Stanford University3.150.3%1st Place
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8.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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9.55Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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14.1University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.97Santa Clara University0.760.0%1st Place
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12.46University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Weis | 23.8% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 2.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lorea Mendiguren | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 1.9% |
| William Marshall | 30.8% | 23.6% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 3.2% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jason Nideffer | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 15.9% | 68.2% |
| Briggs Lalor | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| George Kripac | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 36.3% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.