Race 1A

2017-victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Charlotte List 3.2% 4.7% 5.3% 5.7% 5.5% 5.9% 5.7% 6.2% 6.2% 7.1% 6.6% 8.8% 6.0% 10.7% 7.1% 5.3%
Dana Rohde 10.6% 12.6% 11.2% 8.4% 8.4% 8.2% 7.0% 7.0% 5.8% 6.8% 4.5% 3.4% 2.4% 2.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Ragna Agerup 14.8% 12.4% 9.9% 13.1% 9.6% 8.5% 8.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.2% 3.3% 1.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Camille Matile 3.1% 3.6% 4.7% 5.2% 4.4% 4.6% 4.7% 5.2% 6.7% 5.8% 8.1% 8.3% 9.1% 8.2% 10.7% 7.6%
Casey Klingler 7.0% 7.4% 5.9% 8.8% 7.9% 7.3% 8.3% 6.3% 7.7% 6.9% 7.1% 6.0% 5.6% 3.3% 3.6% 0.9%
Sarah Hermus 8.5% 9.8% 11.1% 8.9% 8.9% 8.8% 7.0% 6.9% 6.3% 5.3% 6.1% 4.4% 2.9% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Maia Agerup 11.0% 9.1% 8.4% 8.9% 8.6% 8.3% 6.7% 7.7% 6.8% 5.6% 6.3% 6.2% 3.1% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Emma White 6.9% 7.4% 8.4% 6.4% 7.9% 7.3% 7.3% 7.1% 6.0% 8.5% 6.7% 6.2% 5.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.5%
Taylor Ladd 5.5% 5.4% 6.4% 5.8% 6.8% 6.5% 6.1% 7.7% 6.8% 7.4% 7.0% 7.3% 7.2% 5.7% 5.0% 3.4%
Isabella Loosbrock 9.0% 7.5% 6.6% 8.3% 8.9% 7.5% 7.5% 9.7% 8.3% 6.6% 5.6% 5.1% 4.5% 1.9% 2.5% 0.5%
Lindsay Doyle 5.2% 4.4% 5.7% 5.1% 4.4% 6.0% 5.6% 5.9% 6.8% 8.0% 6.8% 8.0% 8.2% 7.3% 7.7% 4.9%
Molly Pleskus 3.6% 3.4% 2.5% 3.4% 4.5% 4.7% 6.0% 4.9% 5.6% 4.5% 7.8% 8.0% 8.7% 9.7% 11.6% 11.1%
Annie Hughes 4.7% 5.4% 6.2% 5.5% 5.5% 6.6% 6.3% 6.4% 7.5% 8.6% 8.1% 7.3% 6.4% 5.6% 6.8% 3.1%
Janel DeCurtis 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 4.3% 4.5% 5.6% 5.2% 5.3% 7.4% 8.2% 11.2% 12.7% 20.8%
Catherine Price 3.4% 2.7% 3.2% 2.5% 3.8% 4.6% 5.7% 5.1% 4.9% 5.9% 6.8% 7.2% 10.9% 11.8% 11.5% 10.0%
Bridget Lawless 1.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 3.6% 3.2% 4.6% 3.9% 5.1% 9.6% 11.8% 14.1% 29.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.