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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.89vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+5.59vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+3.29vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.42vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+1.88vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+3.51vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+1.61vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41+1.61vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.47vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23+0.46vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-3.62vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-2.87vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.21-2.55vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.62-1.68vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-3.20vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.72-10.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.29Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.51Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.61Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.46Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.38Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.45Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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12.32Salve Regina University1.620.0%1st Place
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11.8Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.13Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Emma White | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Camille Matile | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Catherine Price | 2.7% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% |
| Bridget Lawless | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 29.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 21.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.4% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.