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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+5.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.91vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+4.64vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.21+6.63vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+4.47vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+2.54vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20-0.07vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.62+4.28vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+0.10vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.33vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-3.62vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.72-6.84vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-6.74vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-3.73vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-3.21vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.63Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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9.47Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.93Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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12.28Salve Regina University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.38Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.16Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.26Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.27Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.79Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma White | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Catherine Price | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Lawless | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 30.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.0% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 20.3% |
| Camille Matile | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.