Race 16A

2017-victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Casey Klingler 6.8% 9.7% 7.1% 8.0% 7.3% 8.0% 8.4% 6.1% 6.6% 6.5% 6.9% 4.9% 6.5% 3.7% 2.9% 0.6%
Dana Rohde 11.2% 11.4% 10.2% 8.7% 10.4% 8.1% 7.1% 7.1% 6.2% 6.3% 4.0% 3.3% 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Lindsay Doyle 5.3% 3.1% 4.2% 5.4% 4.8% 6.3% 6.2% 7.1% 6.8% 6.4% 9.6% 7.4% 9.0% 7.2% 5.9% 5.3%
Sarah Hermus 8.5% 10.7% 8.5% 8.9% 10.1% 7.6% 8.0% 6.7% 7.0% 5.7% 6.1% 6.3% 2.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.6%
Taylor Ladd 4.4% 5.3% 5.3% 6.7% 6.2% 7.7% 6.5% 7.5% 6.3% 7.7% 7.3% 7.5% 6.8% 6.9% 5.8% 2.1%
Camille Matile 2.9% 3.2% 3.7% 4.4% 6.7% 5.4% 5.8% 6.6% 5.9% 6.0% 6.3% 8.7% 7.5% 9.1% 9.4% 8.4%
Catherine Price 3.5% 2.8% 3.9% 4.0% 3.7% 4.1% 4.4% 4.4% 6.1% 4.2% 7.8% 8.0% 8.8% 10.4% 12.6% 11.3%
Maia Agerup 10.1% 10.3% 10.3% 7.5% 9.5% 8.9% 7.0% 7.7% 8.4% 5.2% 4.0% 4.0% 3.6% 1.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Ragna Agerup 15.1% 13.6% 11.4% 11.6% 8.1% 8.7% 6.8% 7.6% 4.6% 4.0% 3.3% 2.2% 1.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.4%
Charlotte List 4.7% 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 3.8% 5.2% 6.0% 4.5% 7.2% 7.4% 9.5% 8.8% 8.9% 7.6% 8.6% 5.4%
Annie Hughes 5.7% 4.9% 5.4% 7.6% 5.8% 4.2% 6.3% 6.9% 7.4% 6.8% 8.4% 7.4% 7.7% 7.1% 5.1% 3.3%
Janel DeCurtis 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% 2.8% 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 5.1% 6.2% 5.2% 6.5% 7.9% 10.2% 14.0% 21.4%
Emma White 5.5% 7.3% 8.0% 7.6% 6.7% 7.7% 6.9% 6.6% 8.5% 8.4% 6.3% 5.7% 5.7% 4.9% 2.7% 1.5%
Isabella Loosbrock 9.4% 6.2% 10.2% 9.7% 7.9% 7.3% 8.9% 8.2% 5.5% 7.1% 5.2% 5.0% 4.8% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
Molly Pleskus 3.6% 3.0% 3.2% 2.0% 4.2% 4.7% 4.7% 5.4% 5.5% 7.2% 6.3% 8.2% 8.8% 11.5% 13.0% 8.7%
Bridget Lawless 1.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4% 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 3.6% 2.9% 4.9% 3.8% 6.1% 8.1% 11.4% 15.0% 29.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.