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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.52+6.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.25vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+4.66vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+2.06vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.12+4.65vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+3.25vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+1.74vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+0.06vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.97+1.10vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.18-4.19vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.06-4.76vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.64vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-4.33vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.32vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.82-4.17vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.83-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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5.25Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.66Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.06Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.65Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.06Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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5.81Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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10.83Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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13.64Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah De Silva | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.8% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
| Claire Havig | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Talia Toland | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Annie Spence | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 10.4% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.