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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.52+7.01vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+3.69vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.79vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.45vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+1.21vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15+0.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+2.44vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65-0.48vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.24+0.16vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-1.67vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.97-0.87vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.12-2.43vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.83+0.57vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-5.39vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.40-6.29vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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5.69Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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5.45Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.02Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.57Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.57Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.78Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah De Silva | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Claire Havig | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Annie Spence | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.7% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 14.8% | 47.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Talia Toland | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.