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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+7.26vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.26+8.87vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.92+1.79vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.62+3.36vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08+0.93vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.89+0.51vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+0.71vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.58-0.08vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.17-3.72vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.25-0.89vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-4.16vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.98-5.73vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.30vs Predicted
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16Boston University4.07-8.24vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.06-5.32vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.87Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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4.79Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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5.53Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.51Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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9.92Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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11.11Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.84Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.27Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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11.68Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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14.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Taylor Canfield | 15.1% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| William Haeger | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Edward Glackin | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| John Stokes | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 8.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Colin Smith | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.4% |
| Michael Reney | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.