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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.12vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+7.07vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.50+5.10vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+2.25vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.12+4.52vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.52+2.09vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.97+3.10vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.18-2.46vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-1.33vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.83+2.27vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.40-3.52vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.15-7.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.47vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.24-5.85vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.10-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.1Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.52Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.09Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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5.54Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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13.27Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.74Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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12.86Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.9% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 3.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.9% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Annie Spence | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 6.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 42.6% |
| Talia Toland | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Claire Havig | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Lucie Ford | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 21.4% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.