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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.13vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+7.31vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+2.77vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+4.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+3.71vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+1.62vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06-0.81vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.18-2.47vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.52-1.09vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.40-1.46vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.24-1.93vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.10+0.68vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.97-3.02vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.50-6.04vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.71vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.83-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.77Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.53Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.91Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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12.68Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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7.96Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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13.51Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Talia Toland | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Claire Havig | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 19.3% | 28.8% |
| Annie Spence | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Rachel Holick | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 19.5% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.