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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+4.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+3.75vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.30vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+2.36vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+2.73vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.52+2.22vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+1.34vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.97+1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-1.18vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.67vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.82-1.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.24vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.24-4.95vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.40-6.33vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.83-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.75Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.3Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.36Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.73Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.22Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.34Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.52Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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10.62Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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13.66Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.6% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
| Annie Spence | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 7.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 13.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Claire Havig | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Talia Toland | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Rachel Holick | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.