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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.52+6.97vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+3.74vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.27vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12+5.82vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.48vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15-0.05vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06-0.75vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40+0.44vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.83+4.50vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.97+0.26vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-2.80vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-3.23vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-5.38vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.24-4.93vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.82-4.17vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-7.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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5.74Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.82Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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5.95Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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13.5Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.2Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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10.83Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah De Silva | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Talia Toland | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Rachel Holick | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 15.1% | 47.1% |
| Annie Spence | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Claire Havig | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 10.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.